Will Nigel Farage and Rupert Lowe manage to pull off a 'Unite the Right'?
Opérations sur titresOne-OffPolitiqueÉlectionPolitique américaine1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 73.8%
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5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète26 août 26, 13:56 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Rupert Lowe still UK MP after 2029 general election?
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Reform UK (led by Nigel Farage) and Restore Britain (led by Rupert Lowe) officially announce a formal electoral pact, alliance, or party merger.
- To qualify, the agreement must meet at least one of the following conditions:
- Electoral Pact / Alliance: A formal, public agreement in which both parties commit to standing down candidates in designated constituencies to avoid splitting the vote in a future Westminster general election.
- Party Merger: An official integration or merger of Reform UK and Restore Britain into a single political entity.
- Formal Coalition: A registered joint coalition pact or formal alliance recognized by the UK Electoral Commission.