Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.9%
Prévisionnistes
45
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète27 janv. 24, 04:19 UTC2 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Manned mission to a near earth asteroid before landing on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the first human landing on Mars take place before the next human landing on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Blue Moon HLS make a successful uncrewed landing on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES:
- There is a successful manned NASA landing on the moon by January 1st 2027.
- There is no attempted landing, or an attempted landing leads to the death of an astronaut.