Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 04:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 94.9%
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète24 avr. 24, 14:18 UTC17 oct. 40, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The asteroid 65803 Didymos is a near earth object that was recently impacted by a probe as part of the DART mission.
- There are a few similar objects that are "easily" reachable from the Earth, that is with delta-vees similar or even lower than that needed to get to the Moon.
- Will any one of the objects in this list https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/nhats/ be reached by a manned mission before a new successful manned landing on the Moon?
- Details: a manned mission is defined as any space mission carrying at least one live adult human being to a distance of 1000 km or less from the surface of the asteroid, irrespective of the nature of the approach (flyby, orbit, landing...).
- A new landing on the Moon is defined as a successful soft landing of a spacecraft containing at least one live adult human being on the Moon surface, happening after market creation.
- No extra-vehicular activity required in either case.
