Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 88.7%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète11 avr. 26, 23:35 UTC31 déc. 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a non-Anthropic company make a Mythos-class model generally available worldwide in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any frontier-class model training run be announced with >$1B total compute cost before 2026-12-31?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI release a model called GPT-5o in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Primary source: https://www.businessinsider.com/anthropic-mythos-latest-ai-model-too-powerful-to-be-released-2026-4?utm_source=chatgpt.com
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if:
- Anthropic releases a model explicitly named "Claude Mythos" (or simply "Mythos") to the public.
- Version numbers do not matter.
- (So "Claude Mythos 5.0" will still count)