Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.2%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 26, 18:57 UTC15 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold Markets#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
Polymarket#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
Polymarket#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
Polymarket#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of October 5th
KalshiRègles
It just reached #1 under free apps, will it stay this way? I will check at 10am PST, if muse is #1 on October 15th, resolves YES.