Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.8%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
5 mai 23, 14:52 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will at least 10 countries have some form of bans on language AI coded into law by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich language will overtake Python as the most popular according to TIOBE index?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Mojo is a new programming language meant to eventually be a superset of Python (ie all Python code is also valid Mojo code) but with features allowing it to be much faster.
- It's being created by Chris Lattner, who previously created LLVM, Clang, and the Swift programming language, among other things.
- As I understand it, it is intended particularly to solve the current situation where AI code is written in Python using libraries (eg numpy, scipy, pytorch) which are themselves wrappers over code written in C since Python is too slow, making those libraries difficult to debug or extend.
- https://www.modular.com/mojo
- [tweet]At the end of 2026, I will look at a sampling of AI/ML papers published on Arxiv.org.
- If a plurality of papers with code (or otherwise making it clear what language they used) were using Mojo, this resolves YES.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026 doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Mojo is a new programming language meant to eventually be a superset of Python (ie all Python code is also valid Mojo code) but with features allowing it to be much faster.