Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.2%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 52 minutes
En retard4 févr. 24, 17:45 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.
- It has to feature at least some kind of 3D or 360° interface.
- Simply adding the current app with the existing UI would not lead to a resolution of YES for this question.
- If there is no such app available until January 1st, 2030, 0:00 PST, this question will resolve as NO.
- The question will immediately resolve as YES if Manifold publishes an app.
- A demolition of the app will not affect the resolution of this question.