Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.2%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
4 févr. 24, 17:45 UTC1 janv. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Apple offer a version of the Vision Pro for less than 2500$ in the next ~5 years? (light version counts too)
Manifold MarketsApple halves weight of Vision Pro by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a cheap Vision Pro before they release a “soundbar”?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketSomeone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsNasdaq-100 price on Nov 2, 2026 at 4pm EST?
KalshiRègles
It has to be published and available for every average user in the US.
- It has to feature at least some kind of 3D or 360° interface.
- Simply adding the current app with the existing UI would not lead to a resolution of YES for this question.
- If there is no such app available until January 1st, 2030, 0:00 PST, this question will resolve as NO.
- The question will immediately resolve as YES if Manifold publishes an app.
- A demolition of the app will not affect the resolution of this question.