Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 80% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2028.

Comment Will "llm assistant personas seem increasingly inco..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

JSON gratuit pour ce marché, sans clé API :

Agents IA : appelez pm_data_event sur le serveur MCP de CoinRithm :

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+12.0pt95%
• December 15,+11.0pt93%
• November 30,+24.0pt88%

+15 résultats de plus

Volume total

5,2 M €

Volume 24h

313,2 k €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T+1.6pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.1%

+7 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.1pt56.6%
• Gemini+1.8pt32.6%
• ChatGPT-1.2pt

POLYMARKET

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

• $ANT+45.5pt100%
• $AAI-9.8pt0%
• $ANAI-2.8pt0%

+6 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31+2.5pt96%
• October 31-7.8pt37%
• October 30-12.5pt32%

+17 résultats de plus

• Which company has the best AI model end of October?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• What will Bernie say during his town hall in Michigan?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Best AI this week
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 26, 2026