Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.9%
Prévisionnistes
37
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète4 juin 24, 02:15 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurHow many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.
- (Note that this is at least 2 general elections away from when this question was created (4 June 2024) as there must be an election by July 2029.
- However, Starmer doesn't have to be PM for all that period to resolve true, merely be PM on 31 Dec 2029).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Keir Starmer is PM on 31 December 2029.