Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 100%
Prévisionnistes
64
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète15 févr. 24, 09:06 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?
KalshiAndy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister?
KalshiMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves No if any of the following actions occur:
- Keir Starmer fails to form a parliamentary majority in the 2024 election as seen on Wikipedia (2019 equivalent: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election)
- Keir Starmer resigns or is deposed by a vote of no confidence before the next General Election is scheduled to be held (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_United_Kingdom_general_election).
- Update 2025-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If a general election is held before 2024 and Keir Starmer maintains his parliamentary majority, the question will resolve to a yes.
- If he loses his parliamentary majority in an early election, the question will resolve to a no.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves No if any of the following actions occur: