Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 34 minutes
17 mars 26, 17:31 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer have a full term as Prime Minister?
Manifold MarketsWill Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?
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PolymarketBulgaria Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The next United Kingdom general election is scheduled to be held no later than 15 August 2029.
- This market resolves YES if Keir Starmer is reelected as Prime Minister following the 2029 general election.
- The 2024 general election resulted in a landslide victory for the Labour Party led by Keir Starmer, but with the smallest share of the electoral vote of any majority government since record-keeping of the popular vote began in 1830.
- The Conservative Party under Rishi Sunak lost 251 seats and suffered their worst ever defeat, ending their 14-year tenure as the primary governing party.
- Reform UK, led by Nigel Farage, came third in the share of the vote in the 2024 election and had MPs elected to the Commons for the first time.
