Will Jonathan Ray's market on the causes of the increase of life expectancy resolve as intended?
One-OffSanté et médecineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.7%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète18 mars 25, 16:26 UTC1 janv. 60, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves yes if the following market fits all the following criteria:
- resolves within a reasonable time after 2050 (and not before!)
- the total probabilities add up to 100%
- This market resolves no if any of the criteria above aren't fulfilled or clearly won't be able to be fulfilled.
- (This includes if Manifold stops existing)
- https://manifold.markets/JonathanRay/how-will-scientific-consensus-in-20
