Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 81.6%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète19 juil. 26, 19:43 UTC1 juil. 27, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?*
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWill any rider in the 2027 Tour de France use an airbag safety system during the race?
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Jonas Vingegaard starts Stage 1 of the 2027 Tour de France.
- "Starting" is defined as crossing the start line of Stage 1 or being officially recorded on the stage results with a completed time, DNF (Did Not Finish), or other active classification.
- If he is officially listed as a DNS (Did Not Start) for Stage 1, or is omitted entirely from the final starting list, this market will resolve to NO.
- If the 2027 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed beyond the calendar year of 2027, or if Vingegaard announces his retirement from professional cycling before the event begins, this market will resolve to NO.
