What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Sport2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
2028 45.6%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 24, 16:33 UTC1 août 29, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWill Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRègles
Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history.
- They have placed first and second in the last four (2021-24) consecutive Tours de France.
- Resolves YES to the first year in which the Tour de France is held and a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the general classification.
- If no other rider wins the Tour by 2029, then the market will resolve YES to the named outcome.
Marchés ouverts
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 M €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,5 M €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,6 M €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France? ?
- Manifold Markets cote 2028 à 46% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France? doit être résolu le 1 août 2029.
- Comment What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Tadej Pogacar and Jonas Vingegaard are two of the most dominant GC riders in recent cycling history.