Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 85.2%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète22 févr. 25, 04:04 UTC1 janv. 36, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the first year Tadej Pogacar does NOT start the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
KalshiUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
Polymarket2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiRègles
The record for number of Tour de France victories is currently a four-way tie at five victories, between Jacques Anquetil, Eddy Merckx, Bernard Hinault, and Miguel Indurain.
- (Lance Armstrong won the Tour seven times, but all of his victories were later stripped by the UCI after his doping conviction.)
- Resolves YES if Tadej Pogacar wins the general classification (yellow jersey) of the Tour de France six times.
- All of his previous victories must be considered valid by the UCI by the time of his sixth victory.
- Resolves NO if Pogacar retires without having won the Tour de France general classification six times.
- As of the conclusion of the 2026 Tour de France, Pogacar has won five times (2020, 2021, 2024, 2025, 2026).
Marchés ouverts
SportsPOLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 M €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,5 M €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,6 M €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2036.
- Comment Will Tadej Pogacar win the Tour de France a record-breaking 6 times? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The record for number of Tour de France victories is currently a four-way tie at five victories, between Jacques Anquetil, Eddy Merckx, Bernard Hinault, and Miguel Indurain.