Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 87.3%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 26, 04:43 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Jonas Vingegaard start the 2027 Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Manifold MarketsUS Open Men's Singles Winner
Kalshi2027 Pro Football Champion
KalshiHeisman Trophy Winner
KalshiCollege Football National Championship Winner
KalshiRègles
Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard starts a race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028-01-01.
- The race must be a UCI road race, for example a "post-Tour crit" would not count, even if it is a UCI event.
- He has to be riding for that team, not for a national team or etc. He has to take the start, DNS doesn't count.
- Resolves No promptly when any of the following happen:
- Announces retirement before riding any races and also reaches the retirement date without starting a race, or announces that he would not start any race
- Rides a race for another team before riding for Team Visma | Lease a Bike
Marchés ouverts
Sports
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 3.5+34.5pt100%
- Michelsen Set 3 Winner+45.5pt100%
- Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 4.5+70.5pt100%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 M €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,5 M €
KALSHIHouston vs Philadelphia
- Houston+48.0pt91.1%
- Philadelphia-48.0pt8.9%
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz+1.0pt58%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton+2.0pt9%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 24,6 M €
KALSHIBrace vs Sorribes Tormo
- Cadence Brace52%
- Sara Sorribes Tormo48%
- Volume total
- 1,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Carlos Alcaraz-1.0pt77.2%
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt22.8%
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 M €
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?* ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 87% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?* sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?* doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Jonas Vingegaard start another race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028?* est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves Yes if Jonas Vingegaard starts a race for Team Visma | Lease a Bike before 2028-01-01.