Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 95.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète9 nov. 25, 17:04 UTC11 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Refers to former senator Joe Manchin.
- I will tend to resolve yes for any concrete statement from Manchin that he is running, but things like an exploratory committee or obvious trial balloons won't count.
- I won't bet in the market, will try to answer clarifying questions.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? doit être résolu le 11 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Joe Manchin run for the U.S. Senate seat in West Virginia in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Refers to former senator Joe Manchin.