Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 55%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète18 mai 25, 21:34 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against prostate adenocarcinoma before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
PolymarketWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will he die, specifically because of prostate cancer, by the end of 2027? If he dies of a combination of factors including prostate cancer, resolves YES.
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to death, the market resolves YES.
- This includes cases where prostate cancer or its treatment causes increased susceptibility to another condition that is the immediate cause of death.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will he die, specifically because of prostate cancer, by the end of 2027? If he dies of a combination of factors including prostate cancer, resolves YES.