Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2030 or later 60%+0.4ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
419
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+0.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 oct. 23, 12:32 UTC11 nov. 30, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Joe Biden die this year?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiFed Decision in October?
PolymarketRègles
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.
- If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82.
- There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia.
- On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
- https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e
- [link preview]