Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 61.9%
Prévisionnistes
56
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète22 juil. 24, 12:41 UTC1 janv. 35, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWill JD Vance be president for two weeks by mid 2027
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be president of the United States before the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be President of the USA during the 2028 Olympics
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves "no" if he dies, and "yes" if he is sworn in.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 847,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 668,8 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will JD Vance ever be president? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will JD Vance ever be president? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will JD Vance ever be president? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Will JD Vance ever be president? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves "no" if he dies, and "yes" if he is sworn in.