Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 56%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 24, 02:19 UTC31 déc. 49, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves yes if, at any point before January 1, 2050, a female holds the position of head of state in Japan.
- It resolves no if no woman has held this position by that date.
- It resolves N/A if Japen ceases to exist.
- Japan has two distinct leadership roles: the Emperor (head of state) and the Prime Minister (head of government).
- This market concerns the head of state, currently the Emperor.
- A female regent acting on behalf of a male Emperor would not count.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2049.
- Comment Will Japan have a female head of state before 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves yes if, at any point before January 1, 2050, a female holds the position of head of state in Japan.