Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?
Latin AmericaOne-OffEurope3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 56.6%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète17 avr. 26, 21:31 UTC1 janv. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
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Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a sitting head of state or head of government of any internationally recognized country posts a video on TikTok or Instagram Reels before December 31, 2026 (23:59 UTC) in which they are clearly dancing.
- What counts:
- The video must be posted to the leader's verified/official TikTok or Instagram account
- The leader must be visibly dancing (not just standing, waving, or clapping) — coordinated body movement to music
- Candid clips posted by others don't count — it must be posted by the leader's own official account
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria