Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 87%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 déc. 24, 14:20 UTC1 janv. 60, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Israel exist at the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic still Exist as an Independent Company in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place?
PolymarketWill Trump nuke Iran before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Israel has been a UN member state since 1949 and maintains a significant Jewish majority population.
- Current demographic projections indicate continued Jewish population growth through 2050.
- The country faces various geopolitical challenges but has shown remarkable resilience and stability since its establishment. 2060 will mark Israel's 112nd anniversary.
- Resolution Criteria
- Market resolves YES if ALL of the following conditions are met in 2050:
- Israel is listed as a UN member state and/or recognized by a majority of UN member states
