China to officially recognize Taiwan as a country before the end of 2028 🇨🇳🇹🇼
ChineOne-Off2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète22 mai 25, 07:22 UTC30 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolves yes if China opens an embassy in Taiwan
- Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The entity referred to as 'China' (in 'China opens an embassy in Taiwan') is not limited to the current CPC-led government.
- Scenarios where a different government takes control of mainland China and that government subsequently opens an embassy in Taiwan would count towards a YES resolution.
