Manifold MarketsFerméSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No (41%)
Résolu: 8 oct. 2026, 02:51
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 8 oct. 2026, 15:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Tendances
Perdu
Gagné
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?
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PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
We are located in Massachusetts.
- In the decade plus that we have lived in this house, we have always turned on the furnace before this date.
- We have kids, but they are not little anymore and generate quite a bit of heat on their own. 😜 In the past, we have usually caved and turned on the heat because we were entertaining, and we thought it’d be weird to force our guests to freeze with us.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Edit: my wife feels very strongly that we can make it far past this date with no heat, yet we never have.
- I will post periodic indoor temperatures.
