If I set my curtain on fire and don't attempt to put it out for the first 1 minute, will my house burn down?
One-OffSociété et culture7aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
78
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 23, 19:10 UTC1 janv. 34, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Isaac King set his curtain on fire?
Manifold MarketsConditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketTurner Prize 2026 Winner
PolymarketWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
PolymarketLyon curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Assumes that I do attempt to put them out after 1 minute has elapsed.
- Only applies to a curtain still hanging up normally by the window, not one that gets moved elsewhere.
