Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.3%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète17 janv. 26, 03:37 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?
Manifold MarketsWill I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
I’m so bad at predictions man.
- Seriously, my accuracy is worse than 50%, I’m like that Jim Cramer tracker.
- At this point I should consider making a bot that automatically bids the opposite to me.
- This market will resolve to YES if I have a positive all time mana profit for at least 1 day before 2030.
- The figure currently stands at around -6.5k mana.
- Feel free to ask questions and I’ll answer them as best I can.