Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.4%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète4 mars 26, 17:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I make up the mana for having created all the [Carlini question] questions on Manifold by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsSweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in Q3
KalshiSweetgreen restaurant-level profit margin in fiscal 2026
Kalshi$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketRègles
Coding a bot
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the user's Manifold Markets account shows a cumulative profit of at least 10,000 mana from market trading activity before January 1, 2027.
- Profit is calculated as total mana earned minus total mana spent on market positions.
- Resolution will be verified by checking the user's public profile statistics on Manifold Markets at https://manifold.markets/profile, specifically the "Profit" metric displayed on their account page.
- Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on binary and multiple-choice outcomes using mana as the internal currency.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 180,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt57.6%
- 65-89+13.0pt34.3%
- 90-114+0.5pt4%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt97%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet+0.1pt1%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 60,4 k €
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will I make 10k mana in profit on manifold market before 2027 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Coding a bot