Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86.4%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète4 mars 26, 17:47 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I have a million mana in profit by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill someone reach 1B mana profit on Manifold before One Piece ends?
Manifold MarketsWill I make up the mana for having created all the [Carlini question] questions on Manifold by 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRègles
Coding a bot
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if the user's Manifold Markets account shows a cumulative profit of at least 10,000 mana from market trading activity before January 1, 2027.
- Profit is calculated as total mana earned minus total mana spent on market positions.
- Resolution will be verified by checking the user's public profile statistics on Manifold Markets at https://manifold.markets/profile, specifically the "Profit" metric displayed on their account page.
- Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users trade on binary and multiple-choice outcomes using mana as the internal currency.