Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 76.4%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète14 sept. 26, 15:36 UTC19 sept. 26, 03:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
I have a lot of really really really important stuff with hard deadlines by next Friday (that if I miss is really really bad).
- I was supposed to be working on this stuff all summer but I procrastinated way too much, and now I have a few months of chill work crammed into a not-so-chill week.
- I do have most of this week free to work on it though.
- It may be helpful to note that being on manifold is highly counterproductive to finishing this stuff.
Marchés ouverts
Society & Culture
KALSHINew River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
- Above 1.8 million96%
- Above 1.7 million96%
- Above 1.9 million89%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 18 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,9 k €
KALSHIWill the Kennedy Center be demolished in 2026?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume total
- 799,2 €
- Volume 24h
- 799,2 €
POLYMARKETIs Earth flat?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Volume total
- 50,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 558,3 €
POLYMARKETIdaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Yes+9.0pt58.4%
- No-9.0pt41.6%
- Volume total
- 7,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 542,3 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+4.0pt79.2%
- Yes-4.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- 20 k €
- Volume 24h
- 528,3 €
FORECASTEXWill University of Michigan rank first for public universities in 2027?
- No94%
- Yes6%
- Volume total
- 522,5 €
- Volume 24h
- 522,5 €
- Will Harvard tuition exceed $61,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?
- MrBeast: 1 Billion subscribers
- Hermès Kelly: Highest auction sale price this year
- What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Will Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will I finish my stuff on time? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 76% au 17 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will I finish my stuff on time? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will I finish my stuff on time? doit être résolu le 19 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will I finish my stuff on time? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I have a lot of really really really important stuff with hard deadlines by next Friday (that if I miss is really really bad).