Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.7%
Prévisionnistes
94
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
24 sept. 26, 17:25 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I find a partner by 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill I find someone I like more than my ex by 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the Kenya Universal Basic Income experiment find that UBI significantly reduces local crime?
Manifold MarketsWho will get a gap year at Hack Club in 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
I have set a strategic goal to start a family before Singularity happens, with a provisional deadline by the end of 2027.
- The question resolves YES if, by the end of 2027, I am married, or I have proposed and the woman I proposed to said yes.
- Relevant context: I was in 4 long-term relationships in my life (2-4 years each, and one 6 months).
- Mostly, it took me 1-2 months to find a new relationship after the previous one broke.
- The largest gap was 9 months.
- But! Now I am looking explicitly for a wife, not just a relationship.
