Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 67%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 25, 20:30 UTC31 déc. 49, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2200?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will human civilization build a Dyson Sphere?
Manifold MarketsWill human civilization build a Dyson Sphere before 2075?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- Energy Capture threshold:
- The structure must capture and utilize at least 1% of the Sun's total energy output.
- Official measurements from at least 3 independent space agencies confirm the energy capture threshold has been reached.
- Specifications:
- The structure(s) can be of any design: Dyson Sphere, Dyson Swarm, etc