Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 80%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 18:51 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will https://vivarium.sh/ still exist by EOY2028
Manifold MarketsWill https://absentia.bio/ still exist by EOY2031
Manifold MarketsWill Tumblr still exist by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the website located at https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ is accessible and returns a standard HTTP 200 OK status code on December 31, 2026.
- If the website is inaccessible, redirects to a different domain, or returns an error status code (e.g., 404, 500) on that date, the market resolves to NO.
- This market concerns the continued operation of the specific web domain clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools.
- As of April 2026, little public information is available regarding the long-term hosting or organizational status of this specific URL.
- Traders should consider the typical volatility of experimental or niche web projects and the potential for domain expiration or service discontinuation over the remainder of the 2026 calendar year.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria