Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 21:52 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète10 mai 23, 19:44 UTC1 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion deliver 10 MW of fusion-generated electricity to Microsoft before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill fusion power be commercially available by 2035?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRègles
Based on deal made here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/microsoft-buy-power-nuclear-fusion-company-helion-2023-05-10/
- I doubt an exact Megawatt figure will be published, but I'll resolve on an announcement that energy is flowing in 2028 that is unaccompanied by serious doubt about the meaningfulness of the amount of power being transferred.
- If Helion is purchased/merged/rebranded, this market will still resolve yes if its descendant organization delievers the power