Will GiveWell fund Eave tubes to control malaria by 1st January 2027?
TechOne-OffSanté et médecine3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 85.9%
Non 85.9%Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète17 déc. 22, 19:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund eave tubes to control malariaon or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Eave tubes to control malaria” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. Eave tubes can be distributed for the purpose of malaria reduction or other purposes.
