Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 77.4%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète18 déc. 22, 12:54 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will GiveWell fund Sayana® Press by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk have a Neuralink chip implanted in his own brain by the end of 2029?
FutuurMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Electronic partogram on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Electronic partogram” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Can you find issues with this question.
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,750 or above99%
- $73,000 or above99%
- $73,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $67,000 or above98%
- $64,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $67,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 906,7 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIETH price on Sep 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,300 or above97%
- $2,340 or above96%
- $2,380 or above93%
+37 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 285,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 231,2 k €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 15, 2026?
- Seattle+85.0pt99%
- Chicago+21.0pt99%
- Miami-14.0pt52%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 249,1 k €
LIMITLESSMeta (META) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- 222,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 208,7 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+7.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+3.0pt26.7%
- 220-239-1.0pt16.2%
+23 résultats de plus
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 15, 2026?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 15, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down - Daily
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 15, 2026?
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Electronic partogram on or before December 31, 2026.