Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 58.6%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 22:09 UTC1 janv. 28, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]
Manifold MarketsThe context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if among frontier AI models released in 2027, a majority used FP8 as their primary pretraining precision.
- Frontier models = flagship from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google DeepMind, Meta AI, xAI, Mistral.
- FP8 means majority of compute in FP8 not BF16/FP16/FP32.
- Mixed precision where FP8 dominates counts.
- Post-training quantization does NOT count.
- Based on official reports or credible reporting.