Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 36 minutes
21 févr. 23, 20:20 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against any type of herpes simplex infection before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against squamous cell carcinoma before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against myeloid leukemia before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill FDA approve any mRNA vaccine against AIDS before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDA approve intismeran autogene (V940/mRNA-4157)?
KalshiAny vaccine against Alzheimer's disease to be safe and effective by the end of 2027?
FutuurRègles
Resolves YES if the FDA grants full approval for the commercial sale of any mRNA-based vaccine for the treatment of melanoma in the United States before January 1, 2028.
- This does not include emergency use authorization or other forms of limited authorization.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
