Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.1%
Prévisionnistes
49
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 juin 25, 01:32 UTC11 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.
- Elon Musk must donate a major amount or launch a large campaign to defeat these candidates.
- A lone statement or tweet does not suffice
- I will not trade in this market.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? doit être résolu le 11 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Elon Musk successfully defeat at least 5 Republicans in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Primary defeats, general election defeats, forced retirements etc count.