Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 87.8%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 janv. 26, 22:59 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold Markets[Add options] Which of these highly unlikely things will happen to me this century?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsYear of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Elon Musk physically enters Russian territory at any point during 2026.
- This includes any Russian city, region, or territory (with the exclusion of ceded/contested Ukrainian territory).
- Resolution will be based on credible
- Musk has allegedly been in regular contact with Russian President Vladimir Putin since 2022, though the Kremlin has denied frequent communications, claiming only one telephone call occurred.
- Putin's international cooperation envoy has expressed interest in teaming up with Musk, saying discussions could take place "in the near future", with proposals involving space cooperation and Mars missions.
