Did "Elon Musk and Russia participate in election interference via Starlink"?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionRussie / Ukraine1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 91.4%
Non 91.4%Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard22 janv. 25, 19:25 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Resolution criteria: up to 40% for Elon, up to 40% for Russia's involvement, remaining 20% for the use of Starlink
- [image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
