Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2050? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 86.3% au 27 octobre 2026.

Quand Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2050? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2050.

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2050, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 86.3%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 10 heures

Obsolète

25 déc. 23, 01:44 UTC1 mars 50, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2050, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.

This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people to and from Earth's orbit without the use of traditional rocket propulsion.
The Space Elevator must be capable of regular operation and able to sustain continuous movement of payloads between Earth and space.
Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-3192414ff7cb
@/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-292c3a01b029