Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.1%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète4 sept. 25, 00:04 UTC3 févr. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSecond place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessRègles
Resolution criteria
- Resolve YES if, as of 23:59:59 UTC on February 28, 2030, Dubai has a strictly higher number of completed skyscrapers (buildings ≥150 m) than New York City, per the Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat (CTBUH) “Skyscraper Center” city pages for Dubai and New York City (city proper, not metro).
- Links: Dubai and New York City.
- If these pages are inaccessible or lack explicit counts, use Wikipedia’s “List of cities with the most skyscrapers – By city proper,” which reproduces CTBUH counts; if the two sources conflict, CTBUH prevails.
- Ties (equal counts) resolve NO.
- Buildings count only if CTBUH lists them as “Completed” by the cutoff; later reclassifications visible at resolution time are honored.
Marchés ouverts
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 160-179+2.5pt25.5%
- 180-199+7.5pt25.5%
- 200-219+5.0pt17.9%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 446,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 138,2 k €
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-2.0pt77%
- Apple+2.3pt16%
- Alphabet6%
+5 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Kroger say during their next earnings call?
- Deflation+44.0pt99%
- SNAP / Food Stamp+46.0pt99%
- Instacart+61.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA-1.1pt97%
- Apple+1.4pt3%
- Alphabet+0.1pt0%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+1.0pt8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,1 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-19918.3%
- 160-179+2.0pt16.4%
- 200-219-1.0pt15.4%
+23 résultats de plus
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Monster Energy Point of Sale Growth in September
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030? doit être résolu le 3 février 2030.
- Comment Will Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria