Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 50%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-2.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète29 août 26, 00:52 UTC6 nov. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsNew York City mayoral election winner?
Kalshi[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?
Manifold MarketsQuebec General Election: Second Place
PolymarketHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves yes to second place in the general New York City mayoral election.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.2pt54.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-8.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-3.1pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Fraud+68.0pt99%
- Transgender+62.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+54.0pt99%
+36 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.5pt18%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt4%
+39 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Second place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Other à 50% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Second place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Second place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2029.
- Comment Second place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves yes to second place in the general New York City mayoral election.