Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleZohran Mamdani 71.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 juin 25, 01:42 UTC6 nov. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Second place in 2029 New York City Mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsNew York City mayoral election winner?
Kalshi[Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Dubai have more skyscrapers than New York City in February 2030?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?
KalshiRègles
Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2029 New York City mayoral election.
- If no election is held in 2029, resolves "the named outcome."
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.1pt19%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 Md €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.2pt54.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-8.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-3.1pt35.4%
- Édouard Philippe31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Fraud+68.0pt99%
- Transgender+62.0pt99%
- Oil / Gas / Gasoline+54.0pt99%
+36 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.5pt18%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt4%
+39 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- 25,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8 k €
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Florida Governor winner?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Zohran Mamdani à 72% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? doit être résolu le 6 novembre 2029.
- Comment Who will win the 2029 New York City mayoral election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2029 New York City mayoral election.