Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 59.9%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète2 nov. 23, 00:34 UTC2 janv. 30, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/7790/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve positive if before 2030, credible media reports indicate that there have been sustained hurricane-force winds of at least 33 meters per second for one minute at 10m above the surface of some point within the city limits of New York City
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
- Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically.
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 11, 2026?
- Washington DC+34.0pt99%
- Houston+26.0pt74%
- Atlanta72%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 102,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 96,6 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 11, 2026?
- 86° or above78.8%
- 84° to 85°14.4%
- 82° to 83°3.9%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 44,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay38%
- Gonzalo-7.0pt23%
- Isaias+5.0pt21%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 11, 2026?
- 80° to 81°48.5%
- 82° to 83°34%
- 78° to 79°10.7%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 23,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 23,9 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 11, 2026?
- 79° to 80°46.1%
- 81° to 82°32.7%
- 78° or below17.3%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 21,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 21,7 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 11, 2026?
- 90° to 91°51.9%
- 88° to 89°27.9%
- 92° to 93°14.4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 20,2 k €
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 11, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 60% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2030.
- Comment [Metaculus] Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will New York City experience a hurricane by 2030?