Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
Politique américaineOne-OffCriminalité et justice3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.6%
Prévisionnistes
96
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète27 déc. 22, 16:01 UTC1 janv. 30, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2027?
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Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if Donald Trump spends any positive amount of time in prison while serving a sentence.
- It doesn't count if he is held while awaiting trial or sentencing.
- House arrest also doesn't count, it must be an official prison.
- However, it DOES count if he is held in prison awaiting execution or similar.
- Resolves NO if the above hasn't happened before 1 Jan 2030, 0000hrs UTC.
