Will Donald Trump finally get sentenced to the Big House (or worse) after he leaves office in 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionSportCrime & JusticeDivertissementGolfUS PoliticsManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète31 mars 26, 13:26 UTC9 août 56, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I believe Trump called out for shutting down the internet before he leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill the US be at war with Iran when Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
PolymarketJosé Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRègles
After four years of presidential immunity vibes, will The Donald actually hear a judge say “You’re going away for a while” once he’s back to being a regular (extremely loud) citizen? This market is all about that post-presidency court drama .
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if, anytime after January 20, 2029: • A U.S. court formally sentences him to prison or jail time (any length - months, years, life… whatever the menu offers) OR • Sentences him to the death penalty.
- Resolves NO only if he passes away without ever getting such a sentence.
- Timeframe No rush - legal things move at the speed of a very slow golf cart.
- The market stays open until either he gets the sentence or he shuffles off this mortal coil.
