Will Donald Trump finally get sentenced to the Big House (or worse) after he leaves office in 2029?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionSportCriminalité et justiceDivertissementGolfPolitique américaineManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 80.5%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
31 mars 26, 13:26 UTC9 août 56, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
After four years of presidential immunity vibes, will The Donald actually hear a judge say “You’re going away for a while” once he’s back to being a regular (extremely loud) citizen? This market is all about that post-presidency court drama .
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if, anytime after January 20, 2029: • A U.S. court formally sentences him to prison or jail time (any length - months, years, life… whatever the menu offers) OR • Sentences him to the death penalty.
- Resolves NO only if he passes away without ever getting such a sentence.
- Timeframe No rush - legal things move at the speed of a very slow golf cart.
- The market stays open until either he gets the sentence or he shuffles off this mortal coil.
