Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 96%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète31 mars 23, 13:20 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketDid Donald Trump have sex with Bill Clinton?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if he is pardoned before January 1, 2027
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Donald Trump be pardoned before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if he is pardoned before January 1, 2027