Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
One-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionPolitiqueÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20267j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
53
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 févr. 26, 01:55 UTC4 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsIf X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
Manifold MarketsRepublican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the results of the U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win 218 or more seats (a majority of the 435 total seats).
- The market resolves NO if Republicans win 218 or more seats.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the House Clerk's office at https://clerk.house.gov/
- Following the 2024 elections, Republicans hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
