Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 74.3%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète19 sept. 26, 20:39 UTC11 nov. 26, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iowa Governor Election Winner
PolymarketIowa Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich party wins the 2026 Iowa Governor Election?
Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?
PolymarketWill Democrats win Iowa in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats win Iowa, Texas or both in the 2026 US Senate elections?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the Democratic Party nominee wins the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
- This market resolves to NO if any other candidate (including the Republican nominee, third-party candidates, or write-ins) wins.
- Resolution will be based on the official certified election results published by the Iowa Secretary of State.
- If official certification is delayed or legally contested, the market may resolve based on a consensus of major national news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, NBC News, CNN) once a projected winner is widely acknowledged.
- If the election is postponed past 2026, the market will resolve based on the next completed election held to determine the successor to the current term.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 74.3% au 21 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? doit être résolu le 11 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Democrats win 2026 Iowa governor election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria